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据CNBC报道，美国高盛集团正着手进行自新冠疫情暴发以来最大规模的裁员。有分析认为，这意味着，随着美联储推进激进加息，裁员潮已经从硅谷的科技巨头蔓延到华尔街大型金融机构。         Photo: Courtesy of Lvxing Disaster Simulation Training CenterWhat would you do if you were trapped in an underground parking garage that is being flooded?
As heavy rain associated with Typhoon Dolphin continued to affect large parts of China, an increasing number of people were turning to immersive disaster simulations to experience extreme weather scenarios in a controlled environment at the Lvxing Disaster Simulation Training Center in Hangzhou, East China's Zhejiang Province. 
At the country's first natural disaster simulation venue, adult participants pay 899 yuan ($133) per person to virtually confront situations such as typhoons, urban flooding and sudden flash floods, to gain a sense of what such emergencies might feel like.
Wang Kuanghan, operator of the training center, told the Global Times that the center is designed to allow people to experience the dangers of natural disasters in a safe and controlled environment, while raising awareness of the need to respect nature and avoid potential risks.
"We hope to pass on the experience we gained from encountering natural disasters during our years of traveling around the world," Wang said. "Beyond teaching people how to respond when natural disasters strike, what is more important is cultivating an awareness of how to avoid risks." 
As of July, the center had received more than 70,000 visits this year for hands-on experiences, including tourists as well as companies and professional rescue teams that come for training. The number is higher than the same period in 2025, he noted. 
Fu Minya, a Hangzhou-based office worker, told the Global Times that she has heard of the center and would like to give it a try. 
"The frequent news reports of natural disasters in recent weeks have reminded people of how small and vulnerable we are in the face of nature's forces," she said. 
After Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in China in early August, its remnant impact brought downpours to several provinces. Chinese authorities previously earmarked 80 million yuan to support flood and geological disaster relief efforts in the Central China's Henan and Hubei provinces and East China's Anhui Province, the Xinhua News Agency reported. 
The flash flood simulation is one of the most intense experiences the center offers. Participants stand in a simulated river channel as an instructor presses a button, releasing around 500 tons of water from above. Within just three seconds, many participants are knocked off their feet, left tumbling in the rushing water and being swept toward the protective wall at the end of the channel.
"Real flash floods move even faster," said Wang. "When the water rises above knee level, it is almost impossible for an adult to remain standing. Many people instinctively think they should swim to escape, but that can be fatal."
Flash floods carry mud, branches and rocks that can quickly entangle your arms and legs. The right thing to do is to watch for warning signs of an impending flash flood, move away from the riverbank before the flash flood occurs, and quickly evacuate to higher ground on either side, he said. 
In another exercise, several participants slog ahead holding each other's arms as the facility simulates winds reaching speeds of up to 165 kilometers per hour, as well as torrential rain.
However, there are concerns that simulated disasters could trivialize the suffering of disaster victims and turn the trauma of real-life disasters into entertainment.
This is a promising new niche in urban cultural tourism, Yu Jinlong, a Beijing-based cultural scholar, told the Global Times on Wednesday. 
By striking the right balance between entertainment and public education while strictly adhering to safety protocols, such facilities can become more than just viral check-in destinations; they can serve as a replicable platform for public emergency education, Yu noted. 
In the past, disaster-prevention education largely relied on display boards and lectures, which often made it difficult for people to develop an intuitive understanding of the dangers involved, Yu said. 
Real-life simulations, by contrast, allow participants to experience firsthand the destructive force of typhoons and flash floods, turning abstract knowledge into tangible memories. This is where such facilities can offer unique social value, making them particularly suitable for educational programs for young people and emergency-response training for businesses and institutions, he said. 
The experience can be impactful, but it should not be reduced to a sensationalist spectacle. Only by combining immersive experiences with practical self-rescue training and maintaining strict safety standards can this emerging model continue to serve as a meaningful platform for public disaster-prevention education, Yu noted. 
Statistics show that 95 percent of people rescued from natural disasters survive through self-rescue, Wang said. "If you are swept away by water or hit by strong winds here, you will develop a much deeper understanding of how to respond to hazards and protect yourself."
。高盛集团计划在这个月裁员数百人，这使得高盛成为华尔街上第一家开始裁员以控制开支的大型金融机构。其实华尔街大银行中一直存在末位淘汰机制，每年会裁员1%到5%表现不佳的员工。但自新冠疫情暴发以来，金融市场一度非常活跃，同时面临招聘热潮。所以这样的淘汰机制不但被暂停，各大银行还一度激进扩招。比如，在疫情开始到这一轮裁员之间，摩根大通投资银行部新招了13%的员工，高盛新招了17%的员工，而摩根士丹利增加了26%的职位。今年初，金融市场开始受到重挫，这使得银行间的各项业务快速放缓。

B | 截至今年上半年，华尔街首次公开募股的IPO数量减少了90%，高收益债券发行的业务减少了75%，以及收购和并购业务减少了30%，直接导致银行的收入出现快速下滑。高盛集团的季度收入从2021年的第一季度开始持续下滑。2022年第二季度收入同比下降了超过20%，净利润同比大跌接近47%。所以，目前高盛已经恢复了末位淘汰的机制。至于是否会采取更大的裁员计划，高盛集团首席执行官戴维·所罗门在此前接受CNBC采访时表示，要取决于接下来的美联储动向和通胀走势。高盛的股价在今年以来已经下跌了超过13%。不仅是高盛，整个标普500指数中的银行板块都出现下跌，今年以来板块整体下跌接近12%。这让市场对美国金融业接下来的走势充满了担忧。如果经济衰退持续，金融活动持续低迷，会有更多的银行加入裁员的行列中。美国高盛集团首席执行官 戴维·所罗门： 高盛经济学家们表示，在接下来的12个月内会有30%的概率出现经济衰退，24个月内的概率则是50%，这是很高的概率。从更宏观的经济角度来看，美国的裁员活动已经从科技板块和制造业蔓延到了银行板块。如果通胀居高不下，加息更激进以及经济衰退更持久，会有更多的产业出现大规模裁员。